Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.898775 1.981612 2.066947 2.161625 2.263967 2.371523 2.493449
2025-12-14 1.716339 1.828452 1.948150 2.086151 2.241751 2.412831 2.616646
2025-12-21 1.615252 1.750769 1.899932 2.077798 2.286159 2.525158 2.824029
2025-12-28 1.549082 1.704818 1.880961 2.097582 2.360647 2.675096 3.088089
2026-01-04 1.463412 1.629347 1.820999 2.062492 2.364417 2.737906 3.249633
2026-01-11 1.410907 1.588443 1.797684 2.067725 2.415373 2.860941 3.499673
2026-01-18 1.372792 1.561615 1.788430 2.087933 2.484716 3.011711 3.803618
2026-01-25 1.322791 1.516948 1.753685 2.072069 2.503836 3.094638 4.019335
2026-02-01 1.270287 1.466247 1.708095 2.038278 2.494855 3.135654 4.175055
2026-02-08 1.208075 1.400521 1.639974 1.970240 2.433086 3.094291 4.194507
2026-02-15 1.165956 1.358525 1.600412 1.938052 2.418804 3.120385 4.324983
2026-02-22 1.137573 1.332843 1.580708 1.931354 2.439685 3.199954 4.554621
2026-03-01 1.099903 1.295782 1.547016 1.907217 2.439006 3.254782 4.766754
2026-03-08 1.056477 1.249848 1.499851 1.862027 2.404435 3.253512 4.878855
2026-03-15 1.033569 1.230115 1.487160 1.865203 2.443439 3.376532 5.254273
2026-03-22 1.019079 1.220908 1.488239 1.888113 2.514601 3.562025 5.801854
2026-03-29 0.989257 1.189947 1.457839 1.862753 2.506738 3.608088 6.060117
2026-04-05 0.971964 1.175291 1.449480 1.869673 2.551559 3.754430 6.589998
2026-04-12 0.959466 1.166631 1.449036 1.888290 2.616960 3.947675 7.301611
2026-04-19 0.938290 1.145208 1.429375 1.875931 2.628228 4.036627 7.768517
2026-04-26 0.913709 1.118283 1.400756 1.848014 2.610170 4.064006 8.069530
2026-05-03 0.881748 1.080222 1.354799 1.790729 2.536643 3.969182 7.973335
2026-05-10 0.860032 1.056030 1.328408 1.763592 2.515496 3.983069 8.231099